{"time":1699821788641,"blocks":[{"id":"sz-1FS0Xzq","data":{"text":"The Path to $1 And Beyond","level":1},"type":"header"},{"id":"0z_4WUXRp7","data":{"text":"Utility and Positioning of Access Protocol:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"IcoCNAHun9","data":{"items":["Access Protocol operates on a Web3 platform built on Solana and Starknet technology, aiming to revolutionize digital content consumption and monetization for creators and consumers "],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"j0ji7qZnSn","data":{"items":["The platform's ACS token facilitates a 'read-to-earn' model where users can stake their tokens to access paywalled or specialty content. This model encourages content creators and consumers to engage in a mutually beneficial ecosystem"],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"OWgA0B7QME","data":{"text":"Comparison with Other Web3 Platforms:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"HF-nMJHZa7","data":{"items":["Top Web3 platforms emphasize decentralized applications, easy integration, and transformation of conventional applications through blockchain technology","Similar platforms in the content monetization space include those listed as top Web3 social media platforms like Mastodon, Odysee, Nostr, Mirror, and Steem"],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"Lv5NLsPLNX","data":{"text":"Market Growth and Sector Analysis:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"ZEDuQdEdwe","data":{"items":["The global Web 3.0 market is anticipated to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 43.7% to 47.1% from 2021/2022 to 2030 .

Source(s):
1. https://www.emergenresearch.com/industry-report/web-3-market

2. https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/web-3-0-blockchain-market-report

","Key sectors advancing with Web3 include FinTech, Retail, Entertainment, and Marketing, which leverage blockchain for enhanced data security and customer satisfaction"],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"YiECJguh5f","data":{"text":"Potential Growth Rate for Access Protocol:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"ws-WC7OcXX","data":{"items":["The growth rate of Access Protocol could be influenced by the overall growth of the Web3 market, the adoption rate of its 'read-to-earn' model, partnerships with content platforms, and its ability to retain and expand its user and creator base."],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"chNibHFVkR","data":{"items":["The platform's unique positioning within the digital content monetization space, coupled with the broader market growth, could be used to model a growth rate. "],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"w9iav4XnQf","data":{"text":"Risks and Challenges:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"rTxz1H1O65","data":{"items":["As with past crypto projects that incentivized user engagement, there's a risk associated with inflationary tokenomics which could impact the token's value over time "],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"OsWDhGDgB3","data":{"text":"Outline Conclusion:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"NJ2G3Y87VF","data":{"items":["Access Protocol's growth potential may be substantial given the projected growth of the Web3 market and its unique position in the digital content monetization space. However, a more precise growth rate would necessitate a deeper analysis of market trends, user adoption rates, and the competitive landscape."],"style":"unordered"},"type":"list"},{"id":"ZYTA6Sw8Se","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/d19473d8-233b-47ce-b1d8-47852d1f8824/Screenshot-(1782).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"PngkxeqH7n","data":{"text":"Modeling Process:","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"7NUebNJSOf","data":{"text":"In our analysis, we aimed to uncover the potential future price of Access Protocol's ACS token. This journey required a deep dive into various factors, using a robust, data-driven approach. Here's how we did it:"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"-RTvsnH7Hu","data":{"text":"Calculating the Growth Rate of TVL (Total Value Locked):","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"7wpbHewzJJ","data":{"text":" - Description: Total Value Locked (TVL) represents the total capital held within the Access Protocol ecosystem. It's a crucial indicator of the platform's health and growth."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"PAuiJ_pfBG","data":{"text":" - Formula and Calculation: We analyzed historical TVL data, observing significant growth over time. For instance, the TVL grew from 323,837,767 to 852,669,012 over a specific period. We used these figures to calculate an annualized growth rate, providing a basis for our future projections."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"qKf6ZSU5G_","data":{"text":" -Explanation: This growth rate is pivotal as it indicates the increasing adoption and usage of Access Protocol, directly impacting its market value."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"F9oiXjXfyY","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/ad0bd45c-3701-498a-b8a9-64d6e1ebed9c/Untitled-(3072-x-1752-px)-(1).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"R4i5q3y8HX","data":{"text":"Projecting the Future TVL:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"zBc9LQp85V","data":{"text":" - Description: Projecting future TVL helps gauge the potential market expansion of Access Protocol."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"7SNEayLG53","data":{"text":" -Formula and Calculation: We used the formula {Future TVL} = {TVL} {end}} (1 + r)^n), where ( r ) is the annual growth rate, and ( n ) is the number of years projected forward. In our case, this calculation provided a glimpse into the TVL's trajectory over the next several years."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"suA-Fji5Sy","data":{"text":" - Explanation: This projection is not just a numerical exercise; it reflects market confidence and the anticipated scaling of the platform's ecosystem."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"4dOZ_naVKo","data":{"text":"Estimating the Future Market Cap Based on MC/TVL Ratio:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"i4QdLmsEiI","data":{"text":" - Description: The Market Cap to TVL ratio offers insights into the valuation of the token relative to the value locked in the protocol."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"FXgmvLy8JH","data":{"text":" - Formula and Calculation: By applying the MC/TVL ratio to our projected TVL, we estimated the future market capitalization of the ACS token. This step involved multiplying the future TVL by the MC/TVL ratio (0.0704 in our analysis)."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"23p4yJTzPJ","data":{"text":" - Explanation: This ratio helps translate the TVL growth into a market cap estimate, providing a more direct link to the token's valuation."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"xECUnt1yGT","data":{"text":"Determining the Potential Future Token Price with Adjusted Circulating Supply:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"YB_IZj7K6F","data":{"text":" - Description: A critical factor in token valuation is the circulating supply. Our model anticipates a potential doubling of the ACS token's circulating supply, from 30 billion to 60 billion tokens, over the forecast period. This reflects a possible scenario of increased token issuance or other factors influencing supply."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"DMABSLHcgA","data":{"text":" - Formula and Calculation: Given this, we calculated the future token price using the formula {Future Token Price} = {Future Market Cap} / {Adjusted Circulating Supply} The adjusted circulating supply here is considered to be 60 billion tokens, accounting for the potential increase. This approach provides a more balanced view of the token's future valuation, incorporating both market growth and supply dynamics."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"KhgjKg4nBm","data":{"text":" - Explanation: By factoring in the doubling of the supply, our model offers a comprehensive view that balances potential market cap growth with supply inflation. This approach is vital for providing a realistic projection of the token's future price, considering both the demand and supply sides of the equation."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"avcEsN7Dwb","data":{"text":"This revised section accurately reflects the initial approach of your model, emphasizing the consideration of supply changes from the outset. It underscores the model's depth, acknowledging the dynamic interplay between market cap and circulating supply in determining token value."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"yGczDtVI6c","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/8841b94f-8ecb-45b4-a112-47f2e7e9ad39/Untitled-(3072-x-1752-px).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"OxZ-AbxbIT","data":{"text":"The Input Variables","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"S3t_HLVv_i","data":{"text":"Estimating the potential growth rate for Access Protocol's token value within the rapidly expanding Web3 sector:"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"peajQBpcGo","data":{"text":"Market Growth:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"1T2X59U_LJ","data":{"text":"The global Web 3.0 market size was about USD 2.2 Billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 81.9 Billion by 2032, indicating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 44.5% from 2023 to 2032"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"_Dev8oEnmC","data":{"text":"Source: https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/04/28/2657057/0/en/Web-3-0-Market-Analysis-Suggests-Growth-Outlook-of-44-5-CAGR-Topping-USD-81-9-Billion-market-cap-by-2032.html "},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"U3LCJsGnE4","data":{"text":"Similarly, DeFi’s Total Value Locked (TVL) grew from $18.7 billion to $252.46 billion in 2021, a 12x increase."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"_V9E6Sickw","data":{"text":"Source: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-web3-is-already-transforming-finance"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"n1n2nWkCdU","data":{"text":"Sector-Specific Growth:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"AHUmluj6Fo","data":{"text":" - Direct monetization platforms like Access Protocol are becoming essential in the Web3 space, allowing creators to monetize in a Web3 native way, and representing a shift from traditional content monetization platforms like YouTube and Instagram that take a large cut of the revenue"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"wR6ZeIASJ8","data":{"text":"Source: https://coinchapter.com/wubits-how-web3-is-changing-content-monetization"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"idJsLx74-j","data":{"text":"Source: https://www.speedinvest.com/blog/the-new-creator-economy-a-guide-to-web3-creator-platforms"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"7mSN-W4sDs","data":{"text":"Access Protocol Specifics:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"Wzbp2Dd_sl","data":{"text":" - The success of Access Protocol is closely tied to the adoption of the ACS token by both creators and users"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"L3LbG9nfLC","data":{"text":" - Access Protocol operates within a high-growth sector (Web3), which positions it as a catalyst within a favorable environment for growth."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"geVbm11I2i","data":{"text":"Growth Rate Estimation:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"mPOFE0LayU","data":{"text":" - Assuming Access Protocol can capture a fraction of the projected growth in the Web3 market, and aligning with the growth in DeFi’s TVL, a conservative estimate might place its growth rate at around 30% to 40% annually."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"acehzX6JGZ","data":{"text":" - This rate assumes continued adoption of the ACS token, successful partnerships with content platforms, and a positive trajectory in user and creator engagement on the platform."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"LIPkQTejTR","data":{"text":"Risks:","level":4},"type":"header"},{"id":"N_ZZIRMXyH","data":{"text":"The model carries inherent risks, such as forecasting with a high defi lock multiple, the model is sensitive to that metric. However, a conservative approach would be to cap the variable by 50%. This smooths the growth rate as adoption occurs to take a more moderate approach to the model. "},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"2JCPDz_iOQ","data":{"text":"This model provides a ballpark estimate based on sector growth and the unique positioning of Access Protocol within the Web3 space. However, a more precise estimation would require detailed financial data and projections specifically for Access Protocol, which are not publicly available as of now."},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"FepXwLbG6i","data":{"text":"The Price Forecast","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"pPk48cPUAH","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/31114762-00c7-4564-9ef7-c79918d1eac8/Screenshot-(1783).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"JekVR5k9Kk","data":{"text":"We checked our own math twice, and then we checked it with code interpreter, and then we checked it again with Wolfram Alpha. "},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"fJSWm-66H3","data":{"text":"Code Interpreter - Model Check","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"rrDJUqIr6b","data":{"text":"Code Interpreter (It is now after the OpenAI Devday update, so the models are no longer separated but the conversation is still accessible through the link below:) "},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"t1YCTZzY__","data":{"text":"https://chat.openai.com/share/7595e6b3-983b-4028-a9ac-40449ff7b1af"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"yzjfAqbDw7","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/4b9e9fa1-823b-43e6-b857-c04c6c9f4c60/Screenshot-(1784).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"LV_MQmENJT","data":{"text":"Wolfram Alpha - Model Check","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"koPyG6W4Ud","data":{"text":"Wolfram Alpha Link:"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"7Oo50NStfW","data":{"text":"https://chat.openai.com/share/7672b576-042e-4d8c-bb67-4742c834cf80"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"SpJVjmRK1b","data":{"file":{"url":"https://publisher-ap.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/next-s3-uploads/cff23793-8c99-433e-88b7-249a7215f43b/Screenshot-(1785).png"},"caption":"","stretched":false,"withBorder":false,"withBackground":false},"type":"image"},{"id":"GcHkDnxdCG","data":{"text":"Want To Read The Entire Conversation And See The Modeling Process?","level":2},"type":"header"},{"id":"NllIamzWCZ","data":{"text":"We saved our conversation and this link will stay up for a few months:

https://chat.openai.com/share/42329765-9eff-45b7-8e89-f31fc798f148"},"type":"paragraph"},{"id":"B3cjfG53MB","data":{},"type":"delimiter"},{"id":"sCgkhwl5T9","data":{"text":"Disclaimer: The content in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The article represents the views and opinions of the author, who is a content creator and not a financial advisor. The information presented is based on historical data and models developed by the author and should not be considered as a recommendation for investment or trading. Readers are advised to conduct their own research and due diligence and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Spektre and its affiliates are not responsible for any financial losses or gains incurred as a result of using the information provided in this article"},"type":"paragraph"}],"version":"2.26.5"}